Abstract:
Climate change is a global phenomenon. Its impact on agricultural activities and the livelihoo
d of the population in developing countries has increased dramatically. Understanding how
farmers perceive climate change and how they adapt to it is very important to the implementat
ion of adequate and relevant adaptation strategies. This study was conducted in the Dangila
district to investigate farmers’ perception and the trend of rainfall and temperature, the
adaption strategies, and the factors that impact their choice to adapt by sampling 138 farm
households. Both primary and secondary data sources were used in the study. The survey
questionnaire, FGD, and KII were used to gather the data. The Mann-Kendall trend test and
Sen’s Slope estimator were used to analyze the trend and magnitude of climate change.
Furthermore, descriptive statistics and a multinomial logit model were used to identify
adaptation strategies and determine factors that influence the choice of adaptation strategies,
respectively. The rainfall showed a non-significant increasing trend in winter (Bega), summer
(June – September), and annually. However, there is a non-significant decreasing trend of
rainfall in the spring (Belg) season. From 1991-2022, the annual maximum and minimum
temperatures have shown a statistically significant increasing trend, with recorded increment
s of 0.3
O
C decadal with a 0.03
O
C yearly increasing rate. Farmers perceived an increase in
annual temperature and a decrease in rainfall trend with low variability. Among the
interviewed farmers chi-square test showed a significant variation in the perception of
temperature and rainfall over Agroecology and Sex. The descriptive statistics results that the
main adaptation strategies used by farmers include the use of improved variety, soil and
water conservation, planting trees & agroforestry, and use of irrigation & water harvesting.
The multinomial logit model revealed determinant factors such as gender, age, family size,
educational level, farming experience, access to extension service, access to climate
information, lack of infrastructure, farmland size, agroecological zone, Tropical livestock
Unit, and financial interest which has a positive and negative impact on different adaptation
strategies in the study district. Given the main study outcomes, it is recommended that rural
development approaches should be put into practice to support farmers in adapting to the
climate-related impact and the risks they encounter more effectively.