Abstract:
Land use land cover (LULC) change is one of the essential issues in global environmental
change and sustainable development. With an area of 1,130,000 km2, and as one of the most
populous countries in Africa, Ethiopia is experiencing huge LULC dynamics from natural
vegetation to farming practices and human settlement. A change in Land-use can greatly alter
the rate and extent of soil erosion and sediment export. This study evaluated land use land
covers change on soil loss and sediment yield from 1986-2020 in Gumara watershed,
northwestern Ethiopia. The impact of LULC change on soil loss and sediment yield were
evaluated through application of the model InVEST (integrated valuation of ecosystem
services and trade-off). Input maps required for InVEST SDR model such as rainfall erosivity
and soil erodibility factors, DEM and land use maps were prepared. Landsat 5, Landsat
7ETM+, and Landsat OL_TIRSI at a spatial resolution of 30m were used for LULC change
analysis. Land use land cover change maps were processed by ERDAS imagine 2015 and
ARC GIS 10.3. A successful classification of LULC was achieved with acceptable overall
accuracy and Kappa coefficient of more than 80 %. The results revealed that agricultural land
are the most dominant LULC type in the watershed and expanded from 70.29 % in 1986 to
89.32 % in 2020. Similarly, built-up areas also increased from 0.27 % in 1986 to 0.45% 2020
periods. On the other hand, a significant decrease was observed in the study watershed under
forest 11.77 %, shrub land 9.1 %, and grazing land 8.57 % in 1986, to 3.22 %, 4.34 % and
2.66 % in 2020 periods respectively. From the overall results of this study, it is possible to
conclude that LULC change from 1986 to 2020 had increased the average annual soil loss
19.9 t ha
−1
year
−1
in 1986 to 64.1 t ha
−1
year
−1
in 2020 and also increased the annual
sediment yield from 6.4 t ha
−1
year
−1
in 1986 to 22.2 t ha
−1
year
−1
in 2020 within the
watershed. These suggest an urgent need to control the LULC changes to reduce the expected
increase of soil erosion and sediment yield.