| dc.description.abstract |
Climate change and variability is causing the greatest environmental, social and
economic threats to all countries across the world; however, the problem is severe to many
developing countries including Ethiopia emanated from their weak adaptive strategies. This
study intends to assess farmers perception, vulnerability, adaptation strategies used and the
determinants that hinder to cope up to climate change and variability in North Mecha
district, Amhara Region, Ethiopia. The study employed both quantitative and qualitative
approaches. Primary data for the study were collected through questionnaire from 138
respondents, focus group discussion, key informant interviews and field observation selected
through stratified random sampling technique based on agro-ecology. Secondary data were
collected from NASA power. LVI and LVI-IPCC methods were used to assess farmers
vulnerability to climate change and variability using SPSS version 26. Descriptive statistics
are used to characterize perception and dummy variables and to compare them using the chisquare
test.
The
statistical
data
was
entered
and
analyzed
using
SPSS
version
26.
The
overall
vulnerability
result in the case of LVI is 0.394 and 0.382 for Woyna Dega and Dega agroecological
zones
respectively.
Similar
result
was
found
using
the
LVI-IPCC
approach
which
was
0.051
for
Woyna
Dega
and
0.019
for
Dega
agro-ecology.
Both
LVI
and
LVI-IPCC
results
revealed
that Woyna Dega was greater vulnerable to climate change and variability than
Dega agro-ecology. The LVI-IPCC also implied that households of Woyna Dega were more
exposed, relatively more sensitive and relatively less adaptive capacity to climate change
and variability than Dega agro-ecology. The results revealed significant increasing trend in
annual average temperature and decrease annual rainfall trend as well as a higher rainfall
variability. Similarly, 75.4% and 73.9% of the interviewed households were aware of an
increase in temperature and a decrease in rainfall respectively. The multiple response model
results revealed that the main adaptation strategies of farmers include soil and water
conservation, use improved variety, planting tree, water harvesting and irrigation. Binary
logistic model revealed determinant factors such as gender, age, family size, educational
status, farming experience, access to extension service, access to climate information, lack
of infrastructure, farmland size and financial problem which has a positive and negative
impact on different adaptation strategies used by farmers in the district. The findings can be
used by the government of Ethiopia reduce vulnerability and enhance adaptive capacity of
both agro-ecologies. In addition, income and livelihood diversification may be one of the
options to reduce vulnerability in both agro-ecologies of the study area. |
en_US |