dc.description.abstract |
Credit scoring is a method used to assess a customer's reliability and repayment capacity.
Currently, Ethiopian financial institutions rely on traditional loan assessment methods, which
may lead banks approving risky loans. If financial institutions are unable to manage their loan
risks, it may hamper their ability to achieve both their social and financial objectives. To address
these challenges, credit scoring can be used as a valuable tool to improve the risk assessment
system of credit worthiness’s and improve the performance of financial institutions. This
research evaluated the performance of five machine learning models (Decision Tree, Random
Forest, Linear Regression, Ridge Regression, and Lasso Regression) to overcome these
challenges by using 22 banks dataset with the shape of (321439, 16). The models were evaluated
with several metrics including MSE, MAE, and R-squared. The result showed that the RF model
had the highest training accuracy 82.63% and the lowest MSE (1312.11) and MAE (29.24)
values, indicating better predictive accuracy compared to other models. The model also had the
highest R-squared (0.79) value outperforming all other models. The Decision Tree model ranked
second in performance. The Linear Regression, Ridge Regression, and Lasso Regression models
had similar levels of performance in terms of evaluation metrics. |
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