Abstract:
Ethiopia is experiencing an energy crisis, particularly in rural areas, while having a wealth of
renewable resources, such as hydropower. Among integral steps in hydropower development, the
preliminary task is the identification of viable potential project locations with sufficient head and
flow and preliminary assessment of hydropower potential. Applying a Geographical Information
System (GIS) in combination with hydrological modeling as a remedial strategy to alleviate the
difficulties related to on-site measurements in remote and in-accessible hydropower locations is
quick and cost-effective approach. The main objective of this study was identifying high potential
run-of-river hydropower locations to quantify power potential of Birr watershed, upper Blue Nile
basin, Ethiopia by using Geographical Information System coupling it with the Soil and Water
Assessment Tool. Head has been identified using Geographical Information System (GIS) from
digital elevation model and stream flow at identified location was simulated by using SWAT.
Accuracy of model performance was verified using Birr gauging station flow and physical
similarity approach of regionalization was also applied for calibrating flow at ungauged
watershed. The accuracy of regionalization was further validated by using stream flow from Lah
gauging station. Goodness of fit and the degree to which the calibrated model accounted for the
uncertainties were assessed with NSE, R
2
, PBIAS,and RMSE of SUFI-2 algorithm. Results
indicated that, calibration and validation for stream flow performed very well both for the sub -catchment and the whole catchment. Through the approach, 19 ideal locations with head varying
from 10m to 37m were identified and the overall hydropower potential of the Birr watershed was
estimated as 75 MW and 877 KW, respectively, when 30% and 95% reliable flow were used for
hydropower production. Additionally, it has been estimated that the medium and mean annual
power potential of the watershed is 23 MW and 64.9 MW respectively. The results revealed
presence of enormous potential from small scale hydropower development in the study area.
Furthermore, using a multi-criteria decision-making method, potential sites were ranked based on
important variables that directly influence small scale hydropower development in terms of
financial and technical aspects. Sites found near the outlet of study area have got higher priority
rank due to existence of sites in high head and stream flow area and suitability of geological
formation for hydropower development.
Key words: Birr watershed, Hydrological Modeling, small-scale hydropower, SWAT, GIS