Abstract:
Construction cost overrun is a major problem faced by the construction project in the world and it
needs serious attention to improve. Many projects experience cost and thereby exceed initial
contract amount. In Ethiopia, the number of projects is increasing from time to time. However, it
becomes difficult to finish projects within the allocated cost and time. Taking under consideration
the scarce financial resources of the country, cost is one among the main problems in Ethiopia.
Cost overrun is a result of one or more grouping of several causes, which are very essential to
identify for effective cost performance. Existing practices focusing on the identification of causes
does not give the insight of underlying relationships between the causes. Hence, this study focused
on studying the fundamental relationship between factors of cost overrun using Analysis of
Moment Structure-SEM method. This is an advanced multivariate analysis procedure for
estimating and analyzing causal relationships in path models.
The main object of this study was to investigate the cause and effect of cost overrun of construction
projects in case of government owned industry park construction projects. This research also
prioritized the mitigation measure of cost overrun effect.
Questionnaire survey has been conducted on a total of 158 respondents from client, contractors
and consultant to model the cause factors of project cost overrun using Structural Equation
Modeling (SEM) approach via Analysis of Moment Structure (AMOS v23) software package. To
rank the Methods of Minimizing of cost overrun using Relative Importance Index (RII). In
addition, a detailed archival document review was conducted to get the actual essence of cost
overrun of the project. Both Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) and Confirmatory Factor Analysis
(CFA) were used for data reduction and identification of factor structures and validate study
results, respectively.
Findings of the research shows that, Contractor Inefficiency are the most significant construct or
group of factors causing cost overrun. Following Contractor Inefficiency, Improper Project Design
are the second significant construct or group of factors causing affects cost overrun.
Client Incompetence, An Ineffective Contract Management and Construction Material Related
Problems are the third, fourth and fifth significant construct or group of factors causing affects
cost overrun.
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The Cost overrun method of mitigation in the Amhara Industry Park Development Corporation
projects mainly minimized by Proper cost control/cost performance management. Hire and
motivate experienced and qualified workforce to improve productivity and quality of workshops
and Appropriate scope of definition were the second and third main method of mitigation of the
Project Overruns.
Keywords: Construction projects, Cost overrun, cause and effect, SEM.