Abstract:
Hydrological alterations were happening globally because anthropogenic effects like land
use changes by the conversion of lands to industrial areas, urbanization and agricultural
lands. The main objective of this study was determining effect of land use land cover
change on stream flow and sediment concentration on Gilgel Abay watershed. Historical
land use land cover was generated using satellite images from USGS Earth Explorer data
by supervised classification technique using maximum likelihood algorithm and the
classified images were checked for classification accuracy and sediment data generated by
sediment concentration equation based on discharge. SWAT2012 was used to generate
stream flow and sediment concentration of Gilgel Abay river and the SWAT-CUP was
used for calibration and validation. The land use land cover analysis result for three
different years of 2000,2010and 2020 land use indicated were used for estimation of stream
flow and sediment concentration. The sediment concentration data was generated using
sediment rating curves of Gilgel Abay watershed. During the study period most parts of
Cultivated land grass land changed into forest and shrub land. A decreased cultivated land
and grassland by 15.48 % and 4.13% respectively, urban area, shrub land and forest rising
by 12.13 %, 3.52% and 2.72% respectively. Over 20 years period (2000-2020) decreased
of stream flow and sediment concentration by 2.53m
3
/s and 4.41mg/l respectively. The
model results have showed a good agreement and correlation with the observed data with
NSE > 0.5, R
2
> 0.6, and RSR < 0.08 values for this study used the daily data. The result
of this study shows that land cover was change in to forest, shrub land and urban urea the
base flow be coming decreased, because the eucalyptus plantation and irrigation practices
increased, however the sediment concentration was decreasing because the forest and shrub
land was increased from year to year. This helps decision-makers and stakeholders to plan
and manage land and water resources more effectively.
Keywords: land use land cover, sediment concentration., stream flow, Gilgel Abay
watershed, SWAT and GIS