Abstract:
The first core goal of sustainable development goals (SDGs) is to eradicate poverty.
While microfinance institutions (MFIs) are considered important instruments for poverty
alleviation in developing countries as they provide credit access to the poor, there is
surprisingly little evidence of the drivers of the lending behavior of microfinance
institutions. Accordingly, we examined the determinants of MFI credit growth using a
sample of 130 MFIs operating across 31 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) during
the period 2004–2014. Using the Arellano-Bover/Blundell-Bond two-step Generalized
Method of Moments (GMM) Windmeijer bias-corrected standard errors, we show that
both MFI specific and macroeconomic factors matter in the lending behavior of MFIs.
We found that while capitalization, liquidity, and size are positively associated with
credit growth, profitability negatively impacts credit growth. Besides, the findings
regarding scale effects show that lower gross loan portfolio (GLP) in the preceding year
amplifies the magnitude of the current credit growth rate, but higher GLP reduces credit
growth rates. However, other MFI specific factors namely portfolio quality, deposit
growth, and non-deposit borrowing growth have little direct effects on MFI credit
growth. Furthermore, we uncovered that MFI credit growth is pro-cyclical but negatively
related to GDP per capita consistent with the theory of convergence. On the other hand,
inflation and employment are not important covariates in the lending behavior of MFIs.
Similarly, profit status, regulation status, legal status, and location do not matter in the
credit growth of MFIs, other things constant. Additionally, we found marginal
persistency in the credit growth of MFIs in SSA. Using different specifications and
estimation methodologies, overlapping rolling regressions, and time varying analysis, we
ascertain that our empirical findings are robust. Nevertheless, the time varying analysis
revealed that the catch-up phenomenon is stronger during and subsequent to the global
financial crisis. We also found that credit growth is negatively related to inflation during
and prior to the global financial crisis, though statistically insignificant; whereas, its
effect subsequent to the crisis period is positive and statistically significant. Finally,
although credit growth is positively related to capitalization (as measured by the book
capital ratio), the findings fail to support the hypothesis that capitalization impacts MFI
lending behavior through the divergence between the actual capital ratio and the implicit target capital. Our findings have several practical and theoretical implications which are
discussed in the Conclusions part of the paper. Some research areas for further
investigation are also identified and suggested as part of the Conclusions of the study.