Abstract:
Based on the vital contribution of commercial banks to economic progress of Ethiopia, this study
examined the impact of macroeconomic variables on the profitability of commercial banks in
Ethiopia over the periods 2009/10 to 2018/19 by using panel data of thirteen sampled
commercial banks out of eighteen banks operated in Ethiopia. To comply with the objective of
the research, the paper used quantitative research approach. An explanatory research design
was employed to check the impact of GDP growth rate, inflation rate, interest rate, exchange
rate, unemployment rate, government external debt and foreign aid on banks' profitability ratios
in 3 separate models. Return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE) and net interest margin
(NIM) were used as proxy of bank profitability ratio. The random effect regression output
revealed that real GDP growth rate; unemployment rate and government external debt were
found positive and significantly related to bank’s ROA, whereas the inflation rate influenced
ROA negatively. The result also revealed that inflation rate, exchange rate and unemployment
rate were positive and significantly affected bank’s ROE, whereas interest rate and foreign aid
have a negative and significant impact on bank’s ROE. The last regression result also revealed
that inflation rate and exchange rate have a negative impact on bank’s NIM, whereas foreign aid
has a positive impact on bank’s NIM. Accordingly, the study recommends that banks should
make policies to efficiently utilize the fruits of economic booms. Furthermore, banks should
shield themselves against inflation-related risks and try to match their increasing operating
expenses with revenue growth. Finally, with the inclusion of more variables like racism, political
affairs, foreign direct investment, trade balance, and other internal factors may be used as a
potential extension of this research.