dc.description.abstract |
Quantifying and valuing carbon stocks across land use changes is crucial for the
successful implementation of climate change mitigation policies. As ecosystems continue
to be depleted worldwide, parks and wetlands are becoming increasingly important for
global ecosystem conservation efforts. These fragile environments are highly sensitive to
resource exhaustion and require immediate action to protect them. The Blue Nile Park is
an ecosystem hotspot area that has not been handled scientifically, and it is necessary to
quantify its carbon stock potential and monetary value across land use changes. The study
used the Carbon InVEST model and QGIS versions 2.18.15 & 3.16.2 to map, value, and
predict each land use land cover (LULC) carbon stock potential. The different LULC types
of the park area were identified, and their carbon stock potentials were determined based
on bublished researches. Field inventories were used to determine the above and below
ground forest carbon stock potential. The study found that grazing lands and agricultural
lands were the major land use types in the park area, accounting for 28.97% and 26.89%
of the parking area, respectively. Forest land, wetlands, agricultural lands, built-ups, and
water bodies were among the other LULC types identified. Forest land had the highest
rate of loss at 23.15%, while grazing land had the highest gain rate at 29.55%. The study
projected a forest/vegetation change rate of 14.25%, for 2021-2035. The built-up and
wetland areas are expected to decline in the same period. Despite the increase in forest
cover, the aggressive expansion of invasive species like Lantana Camara and Eucalyptus
trees may degrade the park's indigenous tree species. The study found that that the total
carbon stock potential of the park was 1,007,248,559 Mg of c per m2 with a value of
2,653,976,400 US dollars under the REDD (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and
forest Degradation) scenario. on the otherside in "business as usual" scenario, the total
carbon stock was 850,197,543 Mg, with a value of 299,948,978.75 US dollars by 2035.
The study concludes that land use change matters in carbon stock potential values and
highlights the importance of putting carbon trade mechanisms in place to sustain the
park's ecosystem potential. However, further studies should be conducted regarding
species richness and biodiversity potential assessments to clarify the impacts of invasive
species over it.
Key words: Carbon, InVEST software, REDD, GIS, Remote sensing, Forest, wetlan |
en_US |