dc.description.abstract |
Air pollution has an enormous influence on the number of constituents in the atmosphere
that leads to effects like global warming and acid rains. The main cause of pollution is
hazardous gases from the traffic system with a large number of vehicles. The challenge in
the city is high because of cars and industries smoke. On the other hand, people
demanding pure air for their life. The purpose of this study is to improve the effectiveness
of environmental air pollution risk analysis through the application of data mining. To
achieve this objective, the KDD method and data mining technique is utilized to model
the air pollution dispersion in Addis Abeba City. Factors that are influencing the
predicted value consist of weather-related and air pollution-related data, i.e. wind
direction, wind speed, relative humidity, temperature, and PM2.5 as target values. Daily
meteorological forecast variables as well as the respective pollutant predictors were used
as input to a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) type of feed-forward back-propagation neural
network to predict the classify data based on the Environmental protection agency
guidelines. Two years of hourly data including temperature, Relative Humidity, Wind
Speed, Wind Direction, and PM2.5 were used as inputs to the artificial neural networks.
From 51951 data, 36371 of data were used to train the models and the rest of the data
were applied to test the models. The results of using artificial neural networks indicated
that the preferred models performed MSE=0.022587 and R= 96 in predicting air
pollution concentrations. This helps in the prediction of air quality in the city Addis
abeba and this could serve as an important reference for government agencies in
evaluating present and devising future air pollution policies. |
en_US |